Tesla (TSLA) recently reported earnings, and results were disappointing. Now it looks like there's going to be a deeper fade in the share price on the horizon.
Here's how we can trade that into next month.
Trade structure – the long put butterfly setup
Tesla's relative resistance zone after earnings sits right around $430. The relative support is near $300.
The best trade for this situation is the long put butterfly, positioned for further downside:
- Buy to open 1 TSLA 21 Mar 320 puts
- Sell to open 2 TSLA 21 Mar 300 puts
- Buy to open 1 TSLA 21 Mar 280 puts
The long put butterfly holds a current debit of $1.46. The total risk is the debit you paid – $146.
The total potential profit is $20 (the distance between strikes) and the cost of the debit ($20 – $1.46)= $18.54.
It is extremely rare to collect all this premium. Instead, I like to consider 200%-350% profit of the investment
The strategy result provides only two choices to exit the trade.
- To sell the butterfly that is performing at your target parameters — particularly once the middle strike is tested
- To sell the butterfly right if the chart does nothing, or once your threshold for loss is hit. Mine is typically 65-70% with these positions.
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